Colton Smith vs Mike Ricci

December 14, 2012

Ultimate Fighter 16 Welterweight Tournament Title Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1037
(+37)
Colton Smith
Winner: Colton Smith
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Colton Smith+37
Mike Ricci-37
963
(-37)
Mike Ricci

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +21Mike Ricci: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +21Mike Ricci: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +42Mike Ricci: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 042958
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

Colton Smith earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +58Mike Ricci: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Significant Strikes Landed159
Significant Strikes Attempted1815
Total Strikes Landed8810
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 058942
ELO Change+58-58
💡

What Happened

Colton Smith dominated the striking exchanges with 88 vs 10 total strikes, 15 vs 9 significant strikes, 83.3% vs 60.0% accuracy. Colton Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +92Mike Ricci: -92

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Takedowns Landed70
Takedowns Attempted160
Ground Control Time12:260:34
Ground Strikes Landed74
Ground ELO1 092908
ELO Change+92-92
💡

What Happened

Colton Smith dominated Mike Ricci on the ground with 7 vs 0 takedowns, 12:26 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +21Mike Ricci: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Colton Smith demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Colton Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Ricci's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +23Mike Ricci: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Colton Smith started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Ricci is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: +21Mike Ricci: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithMike Ricci
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.