Colton Smith vs Robert Whittaker

May 24, 2013

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

994
(-43)
Colton Smith
Winner: Robert Whittaker
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:41

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Colton Smith-43
Robert Whittaker+52
1081
(+52)
Robert Whittaker

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -21Robert Whittaker: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 0001 053
ELO Change-21+32
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -21Robert Whittaker: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0001 042
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -42Robert Whittaker: +84

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:410:41
Win Type ELO1 0001 126
ELO Change-42+84
💡

What Happened

Robert Whittaker gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -128Robert Whittaker: +128

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Significant Strikes Landed3353
Significant Strikes Attempted91113
Total Strikes Landed3354
Knockdowns Scored12
Striking ELO9301 187
ELO Change-128+128
💡

What Happened

Robert Whittaker dominated the striking exchanges with 54 vs 33 total strikes, 53 vs 33 significant strikes, 46.9% vs 36.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -71Robert Whittaker: +71

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted61
Ground Control Time0:030:14
Ground Strikes Landed02
Ground ELO1 0211 095
ELO Change-71+71
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -21Robert Whittaker: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Days Since Last Fight161162
Activity ELO1 0001 058
ELO Change-21+37
💡

What Happened

Robert Whittaker demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Colton Smith's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -21Robert Whittaker: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 0021 048
ELO Change-21+25
💡

What Happened

Robert Whittaker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Colton Smith is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Colton Smith: -21Robert Whittaker: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricColton SmithRobert Whittaker
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0001 042
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.