May 24, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 000 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 0:41 | 0:41 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 000 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +84 |
Robert Whittaker gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 930 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -128 | +128 |
Robert Whittaker dominated the striking exchanges with 54 vs 33 total strikes, 53 vs 33 significant strikes, 46.9% vs 36.3% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Robert Whittaker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 021 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -71 | +71 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 000 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Robert Whittaker demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Robert Whittaker capitalized on this activity level, while Colton Smith's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 002 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Robert Whittaker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Colton Smith is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Colton Smith | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

