Connor Matthews vs Dennis Buzukja

March 29, 2024

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

958
(-42)
Connor Matthews
Winner: Dennis Buzukja
KO/TKO
Round 3 • 0:22

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Connor Matthews-42
Dennis Buzukja+51
986
(+51)
Dennis Buzukja

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -36Dennis Buzukja: +36

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Total UFC Fights13
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO964981
ELO Change-36+36
💡

What Happened

Dennis Buzukja's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Dennis Buzukja for the expected result. Had Connor Matthews pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -23Dennis Buzukja: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO977983
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -50Dennis Buzukja: +100

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round33
Time of Finish0:220:22
Win Type ELO9501 031
ELO Change-50+100
💡

What Happened

Dennis Buzukja gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -129Dennis Buzukja: +129

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Significant Strikes Landed6083
Significant Strikes Attempted138201
Total Strikes Landed6284
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO871984
ELO Change-129+129
💡

What Happened

Dennis Buzukja controlled the striking exchanges with 84 vs 62 total strikes, 83 vs 60 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Dennis Buzukja capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -29Dennis Buzukja: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted30
Ground Control Time0:400:06
Ground Strikes Landed24
Ground ELO971933
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Dennis Buzukja landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -23Dennis Buzukja: +47

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Days Since Last FightN/A140
Activity ELO9771 009
ELO Change-23+47
💡

What Happened

Dennis Buzukja demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Dennis Buzukja capitalized on this activity level, while Connor Matthews's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -23Dennis Buzukja: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO977986
ELO Change-23+26
💡

What Happened

Dennis Buzukja started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Connor Matthews is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Connor Matthews: -23Dennis Buzukja: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricConnor MatthewsDennis Buzukja
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO977983
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.