May 17, 2025
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 857 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Yadier del Valle overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Connor Matthews.
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 939 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:54 | 2:54 |
| Win Type ELO | 882 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +56 |
Yadier del Valle earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:54, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 766 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Yadier del Valle edged the striking exchanges with 28 vs 3 total strikes, 9 vs 3 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 30.0% accuracy. Yadier del Valle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 842 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | -104 | +104 |
Yadier del Valle dominated Connor Matthews on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 91 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 939 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Yadier del Valle demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Yadier del Valle capitalized on this activity level, while Connor Matthews's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 939 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Yadier del Valle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Connor Matthews is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Connor Matthews | Yadier del Valle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 939 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.