September 26, 2014
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 201 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -32 |
Conor McGregor overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dustin Poirier.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 091 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:46 | 1:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 378 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -52 |
Conor McGregor earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:46, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 29 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 9 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 350 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -104 |
Conor McGregor controlled the striking exchanges with 31.0% vs 52.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Conor McGregor capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 251 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 164 |
| Activity ELO | 1 184 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -28 |
Conor McGregor demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 70 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Conor McGregor capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Poirier's 164-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 114 | 1 113 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -24 |
Conor McGregor extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Poirier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 091 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.