July 11, 2026
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 33 |
| Experience Gap | -18 | 18 |
| Experience ELO | 1 307 | 1 430 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Max Holloway's 18-fight experience advantage (33 vs 15 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Max Holloway for the expected result. Had Conor McGregor pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 205 | 1 344 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:09 | 1:09 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 544 | 1 755 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +69 |
Max Holloway earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 432 | 1 690 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Max Holloway edged the striking exchanges with 12 vs 0 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 0.0% accuracy. Max Holloway capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 215 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Max Holloway controlled Conor McGregor on the ground with 0:37 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 828 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 321 | 1 478 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +29 |
Max Holloway demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Max Holloway capitalized on this activity level, while Conor McGregor's 1828-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 242 | 1 491 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +10 |
Max Holloway started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Conor McGregor is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Conor McGregor | Max Holloway |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 286 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.