May 9, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Constantinos Philippou's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Constantinos Philippou for the expected result. Had Lorenz Larkin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 060 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:47 | 3:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -24 |
Constantinos Philippou earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 126 | 920 |
| ELO Change | +77 | -77 |
Constantinos Philippou controlled the striking exchanges with 34.1% vs 53.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Constantinos Philippou capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:16 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 064 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Constantinos Philippou landed 1 knockdown followed by 1 ground strike. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 115 | 115 |
| Activity ELO | 1 183 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -13 |
Constantinos Philippou demonstrated solid activity levels with 115 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Constantinos Philippou capitalized on this activity level, while Lorenz Larkin's 115-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 099 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -16 |
Constantinos Philippou started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Lorenz Larkin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Constantinos Philippou | Lorenz Larkin |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 060 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

