April 17, 2015
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 017 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Gian Villante's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Gian Villante for the expected result. Had Corey Anderson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 018 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:18 | 4:18 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 079 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +104 |
Gian Villante gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 111 | 70 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 279 | 168 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 079 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -72 | +72 |
Corey Anderson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (113 vs 70 total strikes), significant strike advantage (111 vs 70). However, since Corey Anderson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gian Villante's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 130 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 034 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Gian Villante demonstrated standard activity with 294 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Gian Villante capitalized on this activity level, while Corey Anderson's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Gian Villante extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Corey Anderson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Gian Villante |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

