May 13, 2016
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 107 | 1 173 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Mauricio Rua's 9-fight experience advantage (16 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mauricio Rua for the expected result. Had Corey Anderson pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 057 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 1 342 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mauricio Rua receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 138 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 117 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -104 | +104 |
Corey Anderson controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (106 vs 66 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (55 vs 48). However, since Corey Anderson lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mauricio Rua's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:40 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 266 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Mauricio Rua landed 2 knockdowns followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 287 |
| Activity ELO | 1 166 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Mauricio Rua demonstrated standard activity with 287 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Mauricio Rua capitalized on this activity level, while Corey Anderson's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +27 |
Mauricio Rua extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Corey Anderson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Corey Anderson | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 053 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.