Corey Hill vs Justin Buchholz

July 4, 2008

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1014
(-32)
Corey Hill
Winner: Justin Buchholz
Submission
Round 2 • 3:57

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Corey Hill-32
Justin Buchholz+40
1007
(+40)
Justin Buchholz

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -26Justin Buchholz: +39

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 0331 010
ELO Change-26+39
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -23Justin Buchholz: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9971 003
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -54Justin Buchholz: +84

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round22
Time of Finish3:573:57
Win Type ELO1 0221 054
ELO Change-54+84
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What Happened

Justin Buchholz earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Corey Hill was submitted.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -29Justin Buchholz: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Significant Strikes Landed3424
Significant Strikes Attempted8880
Total Strikes Landed4440
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 071983
ELO Change-29+29
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What Happened

Corey Hill controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (34 vs 24). However, since Corey Hill lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Justin Buchholz's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -57Justin Buchholz: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time2:320:11
Ground Strikes Landed10
Ground ELO993974
ELO Change-57+57
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What Happened

Justin Buchholz edged out Corey Hill on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -23Justin Buchholz: +41

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Days Since Last Fight164164
Activity ELO9971 023
ELO Change-23+41
💡

What Happened

Justin Buchholz demonstrated solid activity levels with 164 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Justin Buchholz capitalized on this activity level, while Corey Hill's 164-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -23Justin Buchholz: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9991 007
ELO Change-23+26
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What Happened

Justin Buchholz started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Corey Hill is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Corey Hill: -23Justin Buchholz: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCorey HillJustin Buchholz
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9971 003
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.