February 16, 2019
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Cynthia Calvillo overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cortney Casey.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 970 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 039 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Cynthia Calvillo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 73 | 82 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 176 | 192 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 73 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Cynthia Calvillo edged the striking exchanges with 82 vs 73 significant strikes. Cynthia Calvillo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 954 | 1 251 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Cynthia Calvillo did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cortney Casey on the ground with 0:58 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 177 | 92 |
| Activity ELO | 1 080 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +44 |
Cynthia Calvillo demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cynthia Calvillo capitalized on this activity level, while Cortney Casey's 177-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +20 |
Cynthia Calvillo extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cortney Casey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Cynthia Calvillo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 970 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.