December 1, 2017
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 997 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 985 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 069 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Felice Herrig receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 91 | 76 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 233 | 262 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 92 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Cortney Casey controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (91 vs 76), superior accuracy (39.1% vs 29.0%). However, since Cortney Casey lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Felice Herrig's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 1:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 969 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Felice Herrig slightly outworked Cortney Casey on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:35 of control time, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 083 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +39 |
Felice Herrig demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Felice Herrig capitalized on this activity level, while Cortney Casey's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 994 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +24 |
Felice Herrig extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cortney Casey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Felice Herrig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 985 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

