June 19, 2020
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 978 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +43 |
Gillian Robertson overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cortney Casey.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 973 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:36 | 4:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 055 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +57 |
Gillian Robertson earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:36, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cortney Casey was submitted.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 22 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 011 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Cortney Casey controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (113 vs 41 total strikes). However, since Cortney Casey lost the overall fight, her striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Gillian Robertson's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 11:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 881 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -132 | +132 |
Gillian Robertson dominated Cortney Casey on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 11:05 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 35 | 246 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +28 |
Gillian Robertson demonstrated standard activity with 246 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Gillian Robertson capitalized on this activity level, while Cortney Casey's 35-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Gillian Robertson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cortney Casey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Gillian Robertson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 973 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.