Cortney Casey vs Jessica Aguilar

Cortney Casey's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cortney Casey for the expected result. Had Jessica Aguilar pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Cortney Casey earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Cortney Casey dominated the striking exchanges with 172 vs 102 total strikes, 103 vs 57 significant strikes, 35.0% vs 53.8% accuracy. Cortney Casey capitalized on this striking dominance.

Cortney Casey did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jessica Aguilar on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 32 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Cortney Casey demonstrated solid activity levels with 175 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cortney Casey capitalized on this activity level, while Jessica Aguilar's 651-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Cortney Casey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jessica Aguilar is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.