November 12, 2021
Women's Flyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 899 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Cortney Casey's 10-fight experience advantage (14 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cortney Casey for the expected result. Had Liana Jojua pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 977 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Cortney Casey earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 218 | 154 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 124 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 019 | 855 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Cortney Casey dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 57 total strikes, 89 vs 34 significant strikes, 40.8% vs 22.1% accuracy. Cortney Casey capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:33 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 853 | 918 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Cortney Casey did not secure a significant ground advantage against Liana Jojua on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 245 | 386 |
| Activity ELO | 1 069 | 960 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -17 |
Cortney Casey demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cortney Casey capitalized on this activity level, while Liana Jojua's 386-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 991 | 957 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Cortney Casey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Liana Jojua is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Liana Jojua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 977 | 955 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

