Cortney Casey vs Liana Jojua

November 12, 2021

Women's Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

994
(+27)
Cortney Casey
Winner: Cortney Casey
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cortney Casey+27
Liana Jojua-26
933
(-26)
Liana Jojua

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +30Liana Jojua: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Total UFC Fights144
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO981899
ELO Change+30-30
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What Happened

Cortney Casey's 10-fight experience advantage (14 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cortney Casey for the expected result. Had Liana Jojua pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +22Liana Jojua: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO977955
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +37Liana Jojua: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 082964
ELO Change+37-37
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What Happened

Cortney Casey earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +32Liana Jojua: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Significant Strikes Landed8934
Significant Strikes Attempted218154
Total Strikes Landed12457
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 019855
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Cortney Casey dominated the striking exchanges with 124 vs 57 total strikes, 89 vs 34 significant strikes, 40.8% vs 22.1% accuracy. Cortney Casey capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +28Liana Jojua: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Takedowns Landed02
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:001:33
Ground Strikes Landed13
Ground ELO853918
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Cortney Casey did not secure a significant ground advantage against Liana Jojua on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +21Liana Jojua: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Days Since Last Fight245386
Activity ELO1 069960
ELO Change+21-17
💡

What Happened

Cortney Casey demonstrated standard activity with 245 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cortney Casey capitalized on this activity level, while Liana Jojua's 386-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +24Liana Jojua: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO991957
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

Cortney Casey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Liana Jojua is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cortney Casey: +22Liana Jojua: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricCortney CaseyLiana Jojua
Weight ClassWomen's FlyweightWomen's Flyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO977955
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.