August 19, 2016
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 012 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 002 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:34 | 4:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 093 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -43 |
Cortney Casey earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 4 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 38 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 067 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Cortney Casey controlled the striking exchanges with 21 vs 4 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 23.5% accuracy. Cortney Casey capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:24 | 1:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
Cortney Casey controlled Randa Markos on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:24 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 38 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 104 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -24 |
Cortney Casey demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 38 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Cortney Casey capitalized on this activity level, while Randa Markos's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Cortney Casey extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Randa Markos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cortney Casey | Randa Markos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.