October 12, 2024
Women's Strawweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 018 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +50 |
Julia Polastri overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cory McKenna.
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 992 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 977 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Julia Polastri receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 88 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 124 | 145 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 98 | 142 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Julia Polastri controlled the striking exchanges with 142 vs 98 total strikes, 88 vs 40 significant strikes, 60.7% vs 32.3% accuracy. Julia Polastri capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:20 | 3:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 025 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Julia Polastri did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cory McKenna on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:13 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 211 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 032 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +51 |
Julia Polastri demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Julia Polastri capitalized on this activity level, while Cory McKenna's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Julia Polastri started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cory McKenna is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cory McKenna | Julia Polastri |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Strawweight | Women's Strawweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 992 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.