October 9, 2020
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 247 | 1 228 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -37 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 116 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 384 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | +112 | -55 |
Cory Sandhagen gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 38 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 435 | 1 302 |
| ELO Change | +171 | -171 |
Cory Sandhagen controlled the striking exchanges with 38 vs 14 total strikes, 38 vs 14 significant strikes, 43.2% vs 28.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Cory Sandhagen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 281 | 1 301 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 1 275 | 1 284 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -26 |
Cory Sandhagen demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cory Sandhagen capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Moraes's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 171 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Cory Sandhagen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marlon Moraes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Moraes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 115 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.