March 24, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -9 | 9 |
| Experience ELO | 1 340 | 1 266 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -32 |
Cory Sandhagen overcame a 9-fight experience disadvantage (12 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Marlon Vera.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 160 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 505 | 1 519 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Cory Sandhagen receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 128 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 280 | 158 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 187 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 503 | 1 503 |
| ELO Change | +59 | -59 |
Cory Sandhagen dominated the striking exchanges with 187 vs 73 total strikes, 128 vs 58 significant strikes, 45.7% vs 36.7% accuracy. Cory Sandhagen capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 12 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:08 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 383 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | +98 | -98 |
Cory Sandhagen dominated Marlon Vera on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 7:08 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 190 | 225 |
| Activity ELO | 1 339 | 1 333 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -24 |
Cory Sandhagen demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cory Sandhagen capitalized on this activity level, while Marlon Vera's 225-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 216 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Cory Sandhagen extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marlon Vera is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cory Sandhagen | Marlon Vera |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 145 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.