December 11, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 090 | 926 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Court McGee's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Court McGee for the expected result. Had Marcio Alexandre Junior pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 049 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 099 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Court McGee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 99 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 133 | 28 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 887 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Court McGee dominated the striking exchanges with 133 vs 28 total strikes, 58 vs 23 significant strikes, 58.6% vs 47.9% accuracy. Court McGee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 7:05 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 224 | 803 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Court McGee controlled Marcio Alexandre Junior on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 7:05 of control time, 19 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 728 | 357 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 948 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -15 |
Court McGee demonstrated extended layoff with 728 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Court McGee capitalized on this activity level, while Marcio Alexandre Junior's 357-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 065 | 944 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Court McGee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marcio Alexandre Junior is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Court McGee | Marcio Alexandre Junior |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 942 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.