Court McGee vs Matt Brown

May 12, 2023

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1014
(-27)
Court McGee
Winner: Matt Brown
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:09

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Court McGee-27
Matt Brown+29
1148
(+29)
Matt Brown

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -23Matt Brown: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Total UFC Fights2130
Experience Gap-99
Experience ELO9591 103
ELO Change-23+23
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown's 9-fight experience advantage (30 vs 21 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Brown for the expected result. Had Court McGee pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -18Matt Brown: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9751 061
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -18Matt Brown: +38

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:094:09
Win Type ELO1 0641 351
ELO Change-18+38
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:09, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -83Matt Brown: +83

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Significant Strikes Landed811
Significant Strikes Attempted3115
Total Strikes Landed1722
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO9411 139
ELO Change-83+83
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown controlled the striking exchanges with 73.3% vs 25.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Matt Brown capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -27Matt Brown: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Takedowns Landed10
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time1:570:02
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 1531 099
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown did not secure a significant ground advantage against Court McGee on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -11Matt Brown: +10

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Days Since Last Fight329413
Activity ELO1 0441 238
ELO Change-11+10
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown demonstrated extended layoff with 413 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Matt Brown capitalized on this activity level, while Court McGee's 329-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -15Matt Brown: +17

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO1 0031 134
ELO Change-15+17
💡

What Happened

Matt Brown started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Court McGee is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Court McGee: -18Matt Brown: +18

Performance Statistics

MetricCourt McGeeMatt Brown
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9751 058
ELO Change-18+18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.