January 14, 2022
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 967 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Court McGee's 16-fight experience advantage (19 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Court McGee for the expected result. Had Ramiz Brahimaj pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 012 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 116 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Court McGee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 32 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 62 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 76 | 35 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 096 | 927 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Court McGee controlled the striking exchanges with 76 vs 35 total strikes, 54 vs 32 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Court McGee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:57 | 0:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 242 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Court McGee landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 239 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 078 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -18 |
Court McGee demonstrated standard activity with 239 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Court McGee capitalized on this activity level, while Ramiz Brahimaj's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 038 | 983 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Court McGee extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ramiz Brahimaj is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Court McGee | Ramiz Brahimaj |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.