August 27, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 101 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Court McGee's 4-fight experience advantage (7 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Court McGee for the expected result. Had Robert Whittaker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 054 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 116 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Court McGee receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 88 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 305 | 184 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 99 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 1 136 |
| ELO Change | +51 | -51 |
Court McGee dominated the striking exchanges with 99 vs 49 total strikes, 88 vs 48 significant strikes. Court McGee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 267 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Court McGee did not secure a significant ground advantage against Robert Whittaker on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:34 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 186 | 95 |
| Activity ELO | 1 092 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
Court McGee demonstrated standard activity with 186 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Court McGee capitalized on this activity level, while Robert Whittaker's 95-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
Court McGee extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Robert Whittaker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Court McGee | Robert Whittaker |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.