October 5, 2024
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 30 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 999 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -37 |
Court McGee overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (23 vs 30 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Tim Means.
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 986 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:19 | 3:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 151 | 1 166 |
| ELO Change | +102 | -62 |
Court McGee earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 24 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 993 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Court McGee edged the striking exchanges with 14 vs 5 significant strikes, 58.3% vs 38.5% accuracy. Court McGee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:58 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 173 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Court McGee controlled Tim Means on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:58 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 162 |
| Activity ELO | 1 073 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -31 |
Court McGee demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Court McGee capitalized on this activity level, while Tim Means's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 018 | 1 035 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -25 |
Court McGee started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tim Means is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Court McGee | Tim Means |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 986 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.