September 7, 2018
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 28 |
| Experience Gap | -26 | 26 |
| Experience ELO | 963 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Diego Sanchez's 26-fight experience advantage (28 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Diego Sanchez for the expected result. Had Craig White pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 970 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 970 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Diego Sanchez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 64 | 82 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 915 | 954 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Diego Sanchez controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 18 significant strikes, 59.7% vs 42.9% accuracy. Diego Sanchez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:08 | 14:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 42 |
| Ground ELO | 931 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Diego Sanchez controlled Craig White on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 14:20 of control time, 42 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 104 | 301 |
| Activity ELO | 989 | 1 269 |
| ELO Change | -8 | +8 |
Diego Sanchez demonstrated standard activity with 301 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Diego Sanchez capitalized on this activity level, while Craig White's 104-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 976 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +16 |
Diego Sanchez started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Craig White is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Craig White | Diego Sanchez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 970 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

