May 26, 2018
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -18 | 18 |
| Experience ELO | 987 | 1 240 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
Neil Magny's 18-fight experience advantage (19 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Craig White pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:32 | 4:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 993 | 1 423 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +16 |
Neil Magny earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 18 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 17 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 298 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Neil Magny controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 13 total strikes, 18 vs 6 significant strikes, 62.1% vs 35.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:49 | 1:57 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 988 | 1 377 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +12 |
Neil Magny landed 1 knockdown followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 447 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +6 |
Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Craig White's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 991 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +11 |
Neil Magny extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Craig White is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Craig White | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

