February 23, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 002 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +36 |
Raoni Barcelos's 8-fight experience advantage (11 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Raoni Barcelos for the expected result. Had Cristian Quinonez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:04 | 2:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 024 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +55 |
Raoni Barcelos earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 2:04, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Cristian Quinonez was submitted.
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 82 | 74 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 43 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 014 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Raoni Barcelos edged the striking exchanges with 43 vs 29 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 35.4% accuracy. Raoni Barcelos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:13 | 1:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 895 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Raoni Barcelos dominated Cristian Quinonez on the ground with 2 takedowns, 1:02 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 253 | 204 |
| Activity ELO | 987 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Raoni Barcelos demonstrated standard activity with 204 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Raoni Barcelos capitalized on this activity level, while Cristian Quinonez's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 987 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Raoni Barcelos started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cristian Quinonez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cristian Quinonez | Raoni Barcelos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.