July 26, 2019
Women's Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 174 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Cristiane Justino's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cristiane Justino for the expected result. Had Felicia Spencer pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 191 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 290 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Cristiane Justino earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 122 | 38 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 216 | 85 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 138 | 64 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 236 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Cristiane Justino dominated the striking exchanges with 138 vs 64 total strikes, 122 vs 38 significant strikes, 56.5% vs 44.7% accuracy. Cristiane Justino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:52 | 3:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 198 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Cristiane Justino did not secure a significant ground advantage against Felicia Spencer on the ground with 1:52 of control time, 7 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 70 |
| Activity ELO | 1 162 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -14 |
Cristiane Justino demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Cristiane Justino capitalized on this activity level, while Felicia Spencer's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Cristiane Justino started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Felicia Spencer is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Felicia Spencer |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.