December 29, 2017
UFC Women's Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 157 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -28 |
Cristiane Justino overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Holly Holm.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 158 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -20 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Cristiane Justino captured the UFC Women's Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 5 | 5 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 256 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Cristiane Justino earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 118 | 44 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 223 | 227 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 131 | 48 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 308 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Cristiane Justino dominated the striking exchanges with 131 vs 48 total strikes, 118 vs 44 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 19.4% accuracy. Cristiane Justino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:44 | 3:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 144 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Cristiane Justino did not secure a significant ground advantage against Holly Holm on the ground with 0:44 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 155 | 197 |
| Activity ELO | 1 119 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -23 |
Cristiane Justino demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cristiane Justino capitalized on this activity level, while Holly Holm's 197-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -19 |
Cristiane Justino extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Holly Holm is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Holly Holm |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.