March 2, 2018
UFC Women's Featherweight Title Bout
Title Fight
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 175 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Cristiane Justino's 4-fight experience advantage (5 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cristiane Justino for the expected result. Had Yana Santos pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | Yes | Yes |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 194 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -12 |
Title fight! The championship stakes amplified the pressure. Cristiane Justino captured the UFC Women's Featherweight Title Bout with a title bonus.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:25 | 3:25 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 290 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -16 |
Cristiane Justino earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:25, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 334 | 974 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Cristiane Justino controlled the striking exchanges with 42 vs 17 total strikes, 33 vs 5 significant strikes, 76.7% vs 45.5% accuracy. Cristiane Justino capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:21 | 2:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 183 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Cristiane Justino controlled Yana Santos on the ground with 1 takedown, 0:21 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 161 | 986 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -14 |
Cristiane Justino demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since her last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Cristiane Justino capitalized on this activity level, while Yana Santos's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 127 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -15 |
Cristiane Justino continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Yana Santos's now at 0.
| Metric | Cristiane Justino | Yana Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Featherweight | Women's Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 095 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.