October 12, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 972 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Cristiano Marcello receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 72 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 241 | 151 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 77 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 971 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Reza Madadi controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (77 vs 72), superior accuracy (51.0% vs 29.9%). However, since Reza Madadi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Cristiano Marcello's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 976 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Cristiano Marcello did not secure a significant ground advantage against Reza Madadi on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 026 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -24 |
Cristiano Marcello demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cristiano Marcello capitalized on this activity level, while Reza Madadi's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -24 |
Cristiano Marcello started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Reza Madadi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Reza Madadi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

