May 31, 2012
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:53 | 2:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +86 |
Sam Sicilia gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 90 | 93 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 39 | 42 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 946 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Cristiano Marcello controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (39 vs 33). However, since Cristiano Marcello lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sam Sicilia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:05 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 947 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Sam Sicilia controlled Cristiano Marcello on the ground with 0:28 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Sam Sicilia demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Sam Sicilia capitalized on this activity level, while Cristiano Marcello's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Sam Sicilia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cristiano Marcello is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cristiano Marcello | Sam Sicilia |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

