Cristiano Marcello vs Sam Sicilia

May 31, 2012

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

968
(-32)
Cristiano Marcello
Winner: Sam Sicilia
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 2:53

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cristiano Marcello-32
Sam Sicilia+38
1038
(+38)
Sam Sicilia

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -21Sam Sicilia: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -21Sam Sicilia: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -42Sam Sicilia: +86

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish2:532:53
Win Type ELO9581 086
ELO Change-42+86
💡

What Happened

Sam Sicilia gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -54Sam Sicilia: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Significant Strikes Landed3933
Significant Strikes Attempted9093
Total Strikes Landed3942
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9461 054
ELO Change-54+54
💡

What Happened

Cristiano Marcello controlled the striking through solid significant strike edge (39 vs 33). However, since Cristiano Marcello lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Sam Sicilia's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -53Sam Sicilia: +53

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:050:28
Ground Strikes Landed08
Ground ELO9471 053
ELO Change-53+53
💡

What Happened

Sam Sicilia controlled Cristiano Marcello on the ground with 0:28 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -21Sam Sicilia: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Sam Sicilia demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Sam Sicilia capitalized on this activity level, while Cristiano Marcello's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -21Sam Sicilia: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Sam Sicilia started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cristiano Marcello is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cristiano Marcello: -21Sam Sicilia: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricCristiano MarcelloSam Sicilia
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.