Cub Swanson vs Daniel Pineda

December 11, 2020

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1193
(+36)
Cub Swanson
Winner: Cub Swanson
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 1:52

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cub Swanson+36
Daniel Pineda-32
1020
(-32)
Daniel Pineda

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +17Daniel Pineda: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Total UFC Fights199
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 180978
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson's 10-fight experience advantage (19 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Daniel Pineda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +16Daniel Pineda: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 097982
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +54Daniel Pineda: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish1:521:52
Win Type ELO1 3371 119
ELO Change+54-26
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +88Daniel Pineda: -88

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Significant Strikes Landed4621
Significant Strikes Attempted6645
Total Strikes Landed5140
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 3211 029
ELO Change+88-88
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson dominated the striking exchanges with 46 vs 21 significant strikes, 69.7% vs 46.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +66Daniel Pineda: -66

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted12
Ground Control Time1:340:35
Ground Strikes Landed60
Ground ELO1 1311 028
ELO Change+66-66
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +11Daniel Pineda: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Days Since Last Fight428120
Activity ELO1 2341 050
ELO Change+11-12
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson demonstrated extended layoff with 428 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Pineda's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +16Daniel Pineda: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 150994
ELO Change+16-14
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Pineda is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +16Daniel Pineda: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonDaniel Pineda
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 090982
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.