December 11, 2020
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 180 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Cub Swanson's 10-fight experience advantage (19 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Daniel Pineda pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 337 | 1 119 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -26 |
Cub Swanson gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 46 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 45 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 51 | 40 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 321 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +88 | -88 |
Cub Swanson dominated the striking exchanges with 46 vs 21 significant strikes, 69.7% vs 46.7% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:34 | 0:35 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -66 |
Cub Swanson landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 428 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 234 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -12 |
Cub Swanson demonstrated extended layoff with 428 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Daniel Pineda's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 150 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -14 |
Cub Swanson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Daniel Pineda is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Daniel Pineda |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 090 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

