February 15, 2013
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 145 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -31 |
Cub Swanson overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Dustin Poirier.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 070 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 319 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -34 |
Cub Swanson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 58 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 126 | 140 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 70 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 258 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Cub Swanson slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:01 | 4:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 111 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +76 | -76 |
Cub Swanson controlled Dustin Poirier on the ground with 2 takedowns, 3:01 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 200 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Cub Swanson demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Dustin Poirier's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 095 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -23 |
Cub Swanson extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Dustin Poirier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Dustin Poirier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.