April 15, 2016
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 207 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Cub Swanson's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Hacran Dias pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 097 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 357 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Cub Swanson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 83 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 148 | 131 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 95 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 339 | 1 013 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Cub Swanson dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 58 total strikes, 83 vs 55 significant strikes, 56.1% vs 42.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:56 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 28 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 120 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | +82 | -82 |
Cub Swanson controlled Hacran Dias on the ground with 2:56 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 364 | 294 |
| Activity ELO | 1 244 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
Cub Swanson demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Hacran Dias's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 160 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Cub Swanson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hacran Dias is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Hacran Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 092 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

