Cub Swanson vs Hacran Dias

April 15, 2016

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1202
(+28)
Cub Swanson
Winner: Cub Swanson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cub Swanson+28
Hacran Dias-28
1050
(-28)
Hacran Dias

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +26Hacran Dias: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Total UFC Fights106
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 2071 091
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson's 4-fight experience advantage (10 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Hacran Dias pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +18Hacran Dias: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0971 019
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +15Hacran Dias: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3571 063
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

Cub Swanson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +37Hacran Dias: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Significant Strikes Landed8355
Significant Strikes Attempted148131
Total Strikes Landed9558
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 3391 013
ELO Change+37-37
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson dominated the striking exchanges with 95 vs 58 total strikes, 83 vs 55 significant strikes, 56.1% vs 42.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +82Hacran Dias: -82

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time2:560:00
Ground Strikes Landed280
Ground ELO1 1201 103
ELO Change+82-82
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson controlled Hacran Dias on the ground with 2:56 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +12Hacran Dias: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Days Since Last Fight364294
Activity ELO1 2441 063
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson demonstrated standard activity with 364 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Hacran Dias's 294-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +17Hacran Dias: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1601 034
ELO Change+17-15
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What Happened

Cub Swanson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Hacran Dias is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +19Hacran Dias: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonHacran Dias
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0921 017
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.