October 14, 2022
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 22 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 153 | 1 221 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +59 |
Jonathan Martinez overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 22 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cub Swanson.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 076 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:19 | 4:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 313 | 1 362 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +115 |
Jonathan Martinez gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 62 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 79 | 102 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 60 | 66 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 131 | 1 306 |
| ELO Change | -175 | +175 |
Jonathan Martinez dominated the striking exchanges with 62 vs 51 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jonathan Martinez capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 3:30 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 13 |
| Ground ELO | 1 102 | 1 212 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Jonathan Martinez landed 2 knockdowns followed by 13 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 301 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 218 | 1 267 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +44 |
Jonathan Martinez demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jonathan Martinez capitalized on this activity level, while Cub Swanson's 301-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 130 | 1 139 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +33 |
Jonathan Martinez extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cub Swanson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Jonathan Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 070 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.