October 11, 2019
Featherweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 16 | -16 |
| Experience ELO | 1 163 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Cub Swanson's 16-fight experience advantage (18 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Kron Gracie pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 081 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 283 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Cub Swanson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 135 | 86 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 288 | 200 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 143 | 109 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 233 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Cub Swanson controlled the striking exchanges with 143 vs 109 total strikes, 135 vs 86 significant strikes. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:36 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 065 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Cub Swanson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kron Gracie on the ground with 0:36 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 237 |
| Activity ELO | 1 223 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -11 |
Cub Swanson demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Kron Gracie's 237-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 134 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -16 |
Cub Swanson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kron Gracie is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Kron Gracie |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 1 003 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

