Cub Swanson vs Kron Gracie

October 11, 2019

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1157
(+20)
Cub Swanson
Winner: Cub Swanson
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cub Swanson+20
Kron Gracie-20
1023
(-20)
Kron Gracie

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +27Kron Gracie: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Total UFC Fights182
Experience Gap16-16
Experience ELO1 1631 058
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Cub Swanson's 16-fight experience advantage (18 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Kron Gracie pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +19Kron Gracie: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0811 003
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +23Kron Gracie: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2831 063
ELO Change+23-23
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What Happened

Cub Swanson earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +15Kron Gracie: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Significant Strikes Landed13586
Significant Strikes Attempted288200
Total Strikes Landed143109
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 2331 008
ELO Change+15-15
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What Happened

Cub Swanson controlled the striking exchanges with 143 vs 109 total strikes, 135 vs 86 significant strikes. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +23Kron Gracie: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:360:04
Ground Strikes Landed11
Ground ELO1 0651 027
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kron Gracie on the ground with 0:36 of control time, 1 ground strike, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +20Kron Gracie: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Days Since Last Fight161237
Activity ELO1 2231 016
ELO Change+20-11
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What Happened

Cub Swanson demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Kron Gracie's 237-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +17Kron Gracie: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 1341 009
ELO Change+17-16
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What Happened

Cub Swanson started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kron Gracie is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +19Kron Gracie: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonKron Gracie
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0741 003
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.