Cub Swanson vs Nate Landwehr

April 11, 2026

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1198
(+25)
Cub Swanson
Winner: Cub Swanson
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 4:06

C-ELO Evolution

Cub Swanson+25
Nate Landwehr-22
999
(-22)
Nate Landwehr

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +23Nate Landwehr: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Total UFC Fights2611
Experience Gap15-15
Experience ELO1 1851 039
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson's 15-fight experience advantage (26 vs 11 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Cub Swanson for the expected result. Had Nate Landwehr pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +16Nate Landwehr: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 106988
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +34Nate Landwehr: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:064:06
Win Type ELO1 4101 107
ELO Change+34-16
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +43Nate Landwehr: -43

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Significant Strikes Landed3715
Significant Strikes Attempted4930
Total Strikes Landed4015
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 256874
ELO Change+43-43
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson dominated the striking exchanges with 40 vs 15 total strikes, 37 vs 15 significant strikes, 75.5% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Cub Swanson capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +38Nate Landwehr: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:060:00
Ground Strikes Landed20
Ground ELO1 119941
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +10Nate Landwehr: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Days Since Last Fight483273
Activity ELO1 2461 046
ELO Change+10-11
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson demonstrated extended layoff with 483 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Cub Swanson capitalized on this activity level, while Nate Landwehr's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +17Nate Landwehr: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Win Streak20
Win Streak ELO1 1601 010
ELO Change+17-14
💡

What Happened

Cub Swanson extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Nate Landwehr is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: +16Nate Landwehr: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonNate Landwehr
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 100988
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.