Cub Swanson vs Renato Moicano

August 3, 2018

Featherweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1162
(-50)
Cub Swanson
Winner: Renato Moicano
Submission
Round 1 • 4:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Cub Swanson-50
Renato Moicano+66
1182
(+66)
Renato Moicano

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -34Renato Moicano: +57

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Total UFC Fights166
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 1721 236
ELO Change-34+57
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What Happened

Renato Moicano overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cub Swanson.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -24Renato Moicano: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0851 088
ELO Change-24+24
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -66Renato Moicano: +108

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:154:15
Win Type ELO1 2741 226
ELO Change-66+108
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What Happened

Renato Moicano earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -80Renato Moicano: +80

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Significant Strikes Landed2017
Significant Strikes Attempted3847
Total Strikes Landed2023
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 2501 235
ELO Change-80+80
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What Happened

Renato Moicano controlled the striking exchanges with 36.2% vs 52.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Renato Moicano capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -123Renato Moicano: +123

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted02
Ground Control Time0:001:21
Ground Strikes Landed07
Ground ELO1 0611 309
ELO Change-123+123
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano dominated Cub Swanson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -31Renato Moicano: +78

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Days Since Last Fight105119
Activity ELO1 2311 159
ELO Change-31+78
💡

What Happened

Renato Moicano demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Cub Swanson's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -26Renato Moicano: +31

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Win Streak02
Win Streak ELO1 1421 115
ELO Change-26+31
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What Happened

Renato Moicano extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cub Swanson is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Cub Swanson: -23Renato Moicano: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricCub SwansonRenato Moicano
Weight ClassFeatherweightFeatherweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0771 087
ELO Change-23+23
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.