August 3, 2018
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 172 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +57 |
Renato Moicano overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cub Swanson.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 085 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:15 | 4:15 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 274 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -66 | +108 |
Renato Moicano earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:15, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 38 | 47 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 250 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -80 | +80 |
Renato Moicano controlled the striking exchanges with 36.2% vs 52.6% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Renato Moicano capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 1:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 1 061 | 1 309 |
| ELO Change | -123 | +123 |
Renato Moicano dominated Cub Swanson on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:21 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 105 | 119 |
| Activity ELO | 1 231 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +78 |
Renato Moicano demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Renato Moicano capitalized on this activity level, while Cub Swanson's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 142 | 1 115 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +31 |
Renato Moicano extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cub Swanson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Renato Moicano |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 077 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

