May 3, 2019
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 136 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +62 |
Shane Burgos overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Cub Swanson.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 260 | 1 174 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Shane Burgos receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 129 | 134 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 256 | 268 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 147 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 218 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Shane Burgos edged the striking exchanges with 134 vs 129 significant strikes. Shane Burgos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:37 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 042 | 1 117 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Shane Burgos did not secure a significant ground advantage against Cub Swanson on the ground through positional advantages and pressure, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 273 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +35 |
Shane Burgos demonstrated standard activity with 182 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Shane Burgos capitalized on this activity level, while Cub Swanson's 273-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 117 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +30 |
Shane Burgos extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Cub Swanson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Cub Swanson | Shane Burgos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.