Curt Warburton vs Spencer Fisher

October 15, 2010

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

977
(-23)
Curt Warburton
Winner: Spencer Fisher
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Curt Warburton-23
Spencer Fisher+25
1102
(+25)
Spencer Fisher

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -27Spencer Fisher: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Total UFC Fights114
Experience Gap-1313
Experience ELO9731 076
ELO Change-27+27
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher's 13-fight experience advantage (14 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Spencer Fisher for the expected result. Had Curt Warburton pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -19Spencer Fisher: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9811 060
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -25Spencer Fisher: +25

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9751 179
ELO Change-25+25
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What Happened

Spencer Fisher earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -28Spencer Fisher: +28

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Significant Strikes Landed4568
Significant Strikes Attempted8093
Total Strikes Landed82170
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9721 110
ELO Change-28+28
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What Happened

Spencer Fisher dominated the striking exchanges with 170 vs 82 total strikes, 68 vs 45 significant strikes, 73.1% vs 56.3% accuracy. Spencer Fisher capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -33Spencer Fisher: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Takedowns Landed11
Takedowns Attempted36
Ground Control Time7:412:06
Ground Strikes Landed49
Ground ELO9671 081
ELO Change-33+33
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher edged out Curt Warburton on the ground with 1 takedown, 2:06 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -13Spencer Fisher: +33

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Days Since Last FightN/A119
Activity ELO9871 171
ELO Change-13+33
💡

What Happened

Spencer Fisher demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Spencer Fisher capitalized on this activity level, while Curt Warburton's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -17Spencer Fisher: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9831 081
ELO Change-17+19
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What Happened

Spencer Fisher started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Curt Warburton is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Curt Warburton: -19Spencer Fisher: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricCurt WarburtonSpencer Fisher
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9811 060
ELO Change-19+19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.