March 8, 2024
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 359 | 1 278 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Curtis Blaydes's 11-fight experience advantage (18 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Curtis Blaydes for the expected result. Had Jailton Almeida pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 184 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:36 | 0:36 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 695 | 1 438 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
Curtis Blaydes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 3 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 560 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | +93 | -93 |
Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 1 significant strikes, 64.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 4:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 422 | 1 407 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Curtis Blaydes did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jailton Almeida on the ground with 0 takedowns, 16 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 323 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 391 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
Curtis Blaydes demonstrated standard activity with 323 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Jailton Almeida's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 246 | 1 180 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Curtis Blaydes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jailton Almeida is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Jailton Almeida |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 178 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

