Curtis Blaydes vs Jailton Almeida

March 8, 2024

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1379
(+33)
Curtis Blaydes
Winner: Curtis Blaydes
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 0:36

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Curtis Blaydes+33
Jailton Almeida-31
1265
(-31)
Jailton Almeida

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +30Jailton Almeida: -30

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Total UFC Fights187
Experience Gap11-11
Experience ELO1 3591 278
ELO Change+30-30
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes's 11-fight experience advantage (18 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Curtis Blaydes for the expected result. Had Jailton Almeida pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +19Jailton Almeida: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1841 105
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +42Jailton Almeida: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish0:360:36
Win Type ELO1 6951 438
ELO Change+42-21
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What Happened

Curtis Blaydes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +93Jailton Almeida: -93

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Significant Strikes Landed161
Significant Strikes Attempted253
Total Strikes Landed199
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 5601 347
ELO Change+93-93
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 1 significant strikes, 64.0% vs 33.3% accuracy. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +31Jailton Almeida: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Takedowns Landed09
Takedowns Attempted013
Ground Control Time0:094:39
Ground Strikes Landed160
Ground ELO1 4221 407
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jailton Almeida on the ground with 0 takedowns, 16 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +15Jailton Almeida: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Days Since Last Fight323126
Activity ELO1 3911 263
ELO Change+15-15
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes demonstrated standard activity with 323 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Jailton Almeida's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +22Jailton Almeida: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 2461 180
ELO Change+22-20
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What Happened

Curtis Blaydes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jailton Almeida is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +19Jailton Almeida: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesJailton Almeida
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1781 105
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.