January 24, 2020
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -10 | 10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 302 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -36 |
Curtis Blaydes overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (11 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Junior Dos Santos.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 140 | 1 194 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 561 | 1 547 |
| ELO Change | +126 | -61 |
Curtis Blaydes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 28 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 29 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 528 | 1 400 |
| ELO Change | +118 | -118 |
Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 29 vs 7 total strikes, 28 vs 7 significant strikes, 46.7% vs 23.3% accuracy. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:19 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 436 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 211 |
| Activity ELO | 1 335 | 1 323 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -25 |
Curtis Blaydes demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Junior Dos Santos's 211-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 188 | 1 255 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -29 |
Curtis Blaydes extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Junior Dos Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Junior Dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 135 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.