Curtis Blaydes vs Rizvan Kuniev

June 21, 2025

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1349
(+7)
Curtis Blaydes
Winner: Curtis Blaydes
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Curtis Blaydes+7
Rizvan Kuniev-7
993
(-7)
Rizvan Kuniev

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +8Rizvan Kuniev: -8

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Total UFC Fights201
Experience Gap19-19
Experience ELO1 334992
ELO Change+8-8
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes's 19-fight experience advantage (20 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Curtis Blaydes for the expected result. Had Rizvan Kuniev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +12Rizvan Kuniev: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 172988
ELO Change+12-12
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +0Rizvan Kuniev: +0

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 6511 000
ELO Change+0+0
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rizvan Kuniev receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +4Rizvan Kuniev: -4

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Significant Strikes Landed5645
Significant Strikes Attempted95108
Total Strikes Landed10158
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 489996
ELO Change+4-4
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 58 total strikes, 56 vs 45 significant strikes, 58.9% vs 41.7% accuracy. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +9Rizvan Kuniev: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted150
Ground Control Time5:210:26
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 382991
ELO Change+9-9
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes edged out Rizvan Kuniev on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:21 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +5Rizvan Kuniev: -5

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Days Since Last Fight330N/A
Activity ELO1 369995
ELO Change+5-5
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes demonstrated standard activity with 330 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Rizvan Kuniev's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +10Rizvan Kuniev: -9

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 232991
ELO Change+10-9
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What Happened

Curtis Blaydes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rizvan Kuniev is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +12Rizvan Kuniev: -12

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesRizvan Kuniev
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 166988
ELO Change+12-12
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.