June 21, 2025
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 20 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 19 | -19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 334 | 992 |
| ELO Change | +8 | -8 |
Curtis Blaydes's 19-fight experience advantage (20 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Curtis Blaydes for the expected result. Had Rizvan Kuniev pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 172 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 651 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +0 | +0 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Rizvan Kuniev receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 56 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 95 | 108 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 101 | 58 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 489 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +4 | -4 |
Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 58 total strikes, 56 vs 45 significant strikes, 58.9% vs 41.7% accuracy. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 15 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:21 | 0:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 382 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
Curtis Blaydes edged out Rizvan Kuniev on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 5:21 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 330 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 369 | 995 |
| ELO Change | +5 | -5 |
Curtis Blaydes demonstrated standard activity with 330 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Rizvan Kuniev's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 232 | 991 |
| ELO Change | +10 | -9 |
Curtis Blaydes started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rizvan Kuniev is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Rizvan Kuniev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 166 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

