September 6, 2019
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 242 | 1 153 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Curtis Blaydes's 2-fight experience advantage (10 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Curtis Blaydes for the expected result. Had Shamil Abdurakhimov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 113 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:22 | 2:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 435 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -32 |
Curtis Blaydes gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 46 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 410 | 1 135 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Curtis Blaydes controlled the striking exchanges with 46 vs 3 total strikes, 25 vs 3 significant strikes, 58.1% vs 37.5% accuracy. Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 423 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Curtis Blaydes dominated Shamil Abdurakhimov on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 6:07 of control time, 23 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 1 285 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -12 |
Curtis Blaydes demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Shamil Abdurakhimov's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 151 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -19 |
Curtis Blaydes extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shamil Abdurakhimov is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Shamil Abdurakhimov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 111 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

