Curtis Blaydes vs Tom Aspinall

July 22, 2022

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1395
(+31)
Curtis Blaydes
Winner: Curtis Blaydes
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 0:15

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Curtis Blaydes+31
Tom Aspinall-20
1241
(-20)
Tom Aspinall

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +26Tom Aspinall: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Total UFC Fights166
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 3691 261
ELO Change+26-26
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes's 10-fight experience advantage (16 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Curtis Blaydes for the expected result. Had Tom Aspinall pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +17Tom Aspinall: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1911 091
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +83Tom Aspinall: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish0:150:15
Win Type ELO1 7071 428
ELO Change+83-23
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What Happened

Curtis Blaydes achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:15 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +38Tom Aspinall: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Significant Strikes Landed43
Significant Strikes Attempted105
Total Strikes Landed43
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 5711 361
ELO Change+38-38
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall controlled the striking through superior accuracy (60.0% vs 40.0%). However, since Tom Aspinall lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Curtis Blaydes's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +16Tom Aspinall: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:010:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 4771 364
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +28Tom Aspinall: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Days Since Last Fight119126
Activity ELO1 4081 192
ELO Change+28-11
💡

What Happened

Curtis Blaydes demonstrated solid activity levels with 119 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Curtis Blaydes capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Aspinall's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +22Tom Aspinall: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 2511 138
ELO Change+22-17
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What Happened

Curtis Blaydes extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Aspinall is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: +17Tom Aspinall: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1851 090
ELO Change+17-17
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.