July 26, 2024
UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 19 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 326 | 1 401 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +54 |
Tom Aspinall overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Curtis Blaydes.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 160 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:00 | 1:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 651 | 1 797 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +115 |
Tom Aspinall secured a devastating KO/TKO in 1:00 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 11 | 19 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 14 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 485 | 1 754 |
| ELO Change | -75 | +75 |
Tom Aspinall controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 5 significant strikes, 73.7% vs 45.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:13 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 1 373 | 1 497 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Tom Aspinall landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 1 364 | 1 314 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +34 |
Tom Aspinall demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Curtis Blaydes's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 222 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +32 |
Tom Aspinall extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Curtis Blaydes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Curtis Blaydes | Tom Aspinall |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 154 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

