Curtis Blaydes vs Tom Aspinall

July 26, 2024

UFC Interim Heavyweight Title Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1342
(-37)
Curtis Blaydes
Winner: Tom Aspinall
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Curtis Blaydes-37
Tom Aspinall+51
1413
(+51)
Tom Aspinall

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -33Tom Aspinall: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Total UFC Fights199
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 3261 401
ELO Change-33+54
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall overcame a 10-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Curtis Blaydes.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -24Tom Aspinall: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1601 160
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -44Tom Aspinall: +115

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:001:00
Win Type ELO1 6511 797
ELO Change-44+115
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall secured a devastating KO/TKO in 1:00 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -75Tom Aspinall: +75

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Significant Strikes Landed514
Significant Strikes Attempted1119
Total Strikes Landed514
Knockdowns Scored01
Striking ELO1 4851 754
ELO Change-75+75
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall controlled the striking exchanges with 14 vs 5 significant strikes, 73.7% vs 45.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Tom Aspinall capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -49Tom Aspinall: +49

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:13
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO1 3731 497
ELO Change-49+49
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -27Tom Aspinall: +34

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Days Since Last Fight140259
Activity ELO1 3641 314
ELO Change-27+34
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Tom Aspinall capitalized on this activity level, while Curtis Blaydes's 140-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -24Tom Aspinall: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 2221 224
ELO Change-24+32
💡

What Happened

Tom Aspinall extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Curtis Blaydes is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Blaydes: -24Tom Aspinall: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis BlaydesTom Aspinall
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1541 159
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.