March 8, 2019
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 182 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos for the expected result. Had Curtis Millender pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 050 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:35 | 2:35 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 1 372 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +59 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 187 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | -94 | +94 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 6 vs 0 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 0.0% accuracy. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 2:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 016 | 1 282 |
| ELO Change | -108 | +108 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos dominated Curtis Millender on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:08 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 70 | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 201 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +31 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos capitalized on this activity level, while Curtis Millender's 70-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 7 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 070 | 1 206 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +49 |
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos continued building serious momentum with a 7-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Curtis Millender's now at 0.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 049 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

