December 28, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 217 | 1 104 |
| ELO Change | +34 | -27 |
Curtis Millender overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Siyar Bahadurzada.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 069 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 242 | 1 207 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Curtis Millender earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 40 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 165 | 121 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 65 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 281 | 1 252 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -42 |
Curtis Millender controlled the striking exchanges with 91 vs 65 total strikes, 89 vs 40 significant strikes, 53.9% vs 33.1% accuracy. Curtis Millender capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 7 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 3:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 124 | 1 171 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Curtis Millender did not secure a significant ground advantage against Siyar Bahadurzada on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:17 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 253 |
| Activity ELO | 1 119 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -20 |
Curtis Millender demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Curtis Millender capitalized on this activity level, while Siyar Bahadurzada's 253-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -21 |
Curtis Millender extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Siyar Bahadurzada is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Curtis Millender | Siyar Bahadurzada |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 068 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

