Curtis Millender vs Thiago Alves

February 17, 2018

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1092
(+92)
Curtis Millender
Winner: Curtis Millender
KO/TKO
Round 2 • 4:17

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Curtis Millender+92
Thiago Alves-81
1142
(-81)
Thiago Alves

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +157Thiago Alves: -157

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Total UFC Fights123
Experience Gap-2222
Experience ELO1 1571 008
ELO Change+157-157
💡

What Happened

Curtis Millender overcame a 22-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 23 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Alves.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +28Thiago Alves: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0281 087
ELO Change+28-28
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +154Thiago Alves: -75

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round22
Time of Finish4:174:17
Win Type ELO1 1541 291
ELO Change+154-75
💡

What Happened

Curtis Millender gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +222Thiago Alves: -222

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Significant Strikes Landed4733
Significant Strikes Attempted106106
Total Strikes Landed4737
Knockdowns Scored20
Striking ELO1 2221 153
ELO Change+222-222
💡

What Happened

Curtis Millender dominated the striking exchanges with 47 vs 33 significant strikes, 44.3% vs 31.1% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Curtis Millender capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +74Thiago Alves: -74

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:150:14
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 0741 074
ELO Change+74-74
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +36Thiago Alves: -36

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Days Since Last FightN/A317
Activity ELO1 0361 280
ELO Change+36-36
💡

What Happened

Curtis Millender demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Curtis Millender capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Alves's 317-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +35Thiago Alves: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0351 162
ELO Change+35-32
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What Happened

Curtis Millender started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Alves is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Curtis Millender: +27Thiago Alves: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricCurtis MillenderThiago Alves
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0271 078
ELO Change+27-27
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.